Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Oxford
32.1%
Draw
35.4%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Oxford
vs
1.08
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
11.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).