Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Amiens
20.8%
Draw
43.9%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Amiens
vs
1.84
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).