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HHT: 10CSV

09 Apr 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.1%
Doncaster
23.6%
Draw
23.4%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Doncaster

vs
0.99

Walsall

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).