Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.2%
Estoril
14.2%
Draw
74.7%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Estoril
vs
2.76
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.551.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
8.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-1
6.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
2-1
3.2%
0-5
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).