Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Guingamp
23.6%
Draw
38.9%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Guingamp
vs
1.39
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).