Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Port Vale
31.3%
Draw
29.5%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Port Vale
vs
0.82
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.553.6%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
0-0
15.7%
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).