Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
East Kilbride
20.7%
Draw
19.1%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
East Kilbride
vs
1.42
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.575.4%
Over 3.555.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
1-0
3.6%
4-2
3.3%
4-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).