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13 Apr 2024 · 18:00

Amiens

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Concarneau
22.7%
Draw
35.8%
Amiens

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Concarneau

vs
1.40

Amiens

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).