Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Paris FC
23.1%
Draw
47.3%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Paris FC
vs
1.57
Lorient
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.1%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).