Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.0%
Elche
26.0%
Draw
14.0%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Elche
vs
0.56
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS33.0%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
2-0
14.3%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).