Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Paris FC
17.2%
Draw
14.4%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Paris FC
vs
0.90
Amiens
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.1%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.3%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
4-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).