Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Elche
31.3%
Draw
21.6%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Elche
vs
0.67
Eibar
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.553.7%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.510.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.9%
0-0
16.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).