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AHT: 01CSV

10 Mar 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.5%
Lecco
19.8%
Draw
69.7%
Palermo

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Lecco

vs
2.21

Palermo

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.6%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
9.3%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
0-4
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
1-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).