Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Strasbourg
26.0%
Draw
42.6%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Strasbourg
vs
1.37
Lens
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
7.8%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).