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AHT: 00CSV

26 May 2023 · 19:45

Metz

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.0%
Sochaux
21.7%
Draw
52.3%
Metz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Sochaux

vs
1.76

Metz

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
10.3%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
4.9%
0-0
4.5%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).