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AHT: 11CSV

15 Dec 2024 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.4%
Salernitana
36.4%
Draw
30.1%
Juve Stabia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Salernitana

vs
0.83

Juve Stabia

Markets

BTTS34.5%
Over 0.580.7%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.524.7%
Over 3.59.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
19.3%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
0-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).