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AHT: 05

13 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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0.5%
Coleshill Town
1.5%
Draw
97.9%
Hednesford Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.55

Coleshill Town

vs
5.65

Hednesford Town

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.598.5%
Over 2.594.4%
Over 3.586.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-5
10.1%
0-4
8.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-5
5.5%
1-4
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-5
1.5%
2-4
1.3%
0-1
1.2%
2-3
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).