Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Middlesbrough
24.6%
Draw
20.6%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Middlesbrough
vs
1.05
Hull
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
3.2%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).