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27 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.7%
Kolos Kovalivka
29.4%
Draw
53.8%
Polissya Zhytomyr

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Kolos Kovalivka

vs
1.32

Polissya Zhytomyr

Markets

BTTS33.7%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.9%
0-0
14.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).