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04 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.1%
Bromley
22.9%
Draw
21.0%
Gillingham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Bromley

vs
0.93

Gillingham

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).