Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Besiktas
36.4%
Draw
15.6%
Kocaelispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Besiktas
vs
0.61
Kocaelispor
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.581.0%
Over 1.557.6%
Over 2.527.8%
Over 3.511.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.0%
1-0
16.5%
1-1
15.0%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
0-2
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).