Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Tamworth
27.2%
Draw
35.2%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Tamworth
vs
1.38
Sutton
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).