Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.3%
Union Berlin
21.5%
Draw
9.2%
Cercle Brugge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Union Berlin
vs
0.51
Cercle Brugge
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-0
9.9%
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).