Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Dresden
27.8%
Draw
31.5%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Dresden
vs
1.27
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).