⚽ FootballData
3 – 2
HHT: 02CSV

23 Jan 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
47.0%
Dag and Red
27.8%
Draw
25.2%
King’s Lynn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.51

Dag and Red

vs
1.05

King’s Lynn

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).