Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Gateshead
25.3%
Draw
48.1%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Gateshead
vs
1.75
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).