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AHT: 11CSV

17 May 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Freiburg
23.0%
Draw
39.7%
Ein Frankfurt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Freiburg

vs
1.86

Ein Frankfurt

Markets

BTTS71.2%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
2-3
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-1
4.1%
1-0
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).