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AHT: 00CSV

28 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.7%
Oldham
28.8%
Draw
28.5%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Oldham

vs
1.10

Solihull

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).