Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Ferrol
33.3%
Draw
42.8%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Ferrol
vs
1.01
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS31.0%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.550.1%
Over 2.523.9%
Over 3.59.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.9%
0-0
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-1
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-1
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).