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DHT: 12CSV

04 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.9%
Anderlecht
29.2%
Draw
32.0%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Anderlecht

vs
1.12

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).