Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.9%
Leeds
7.4%
Draw
1.7%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Leeds
vs
0.37
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS30.2%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.570.7%
Over 3.549.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
15.3%
2-0
13.9%
4-0
12.5%
5-0
8.2%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
4-1
4.7%
1-1
3.4%
5-1
3.1%
0-0
2.8%
3-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).