Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.0%
Oviedo
26.5%
Draw
18.6%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Oviedo
vs
0.72
Logrones
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).