Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Plymouth
21.2%
Draw
19.7%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Plymouth
vs
0.90
Northampton
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
6.5%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).