Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Werder Bremen
31.5%
Draw
26.3%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Werder Bremen
vs
0.89
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).