Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.0%
Sochi
16.3%
Draw
70.7%
Dinamo Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Sochi
vs
2.93
Dinamo Moskva
Markets
BTTS68.6%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.579.0%
Over 3.560.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.2%
1-3
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-1
6.2%
1-4
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
2-3
5.1%
0-4
4.6%
0-1
3.7%
2-4
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).