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HHT: 10CSV

12 Mar 2022 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.5%
Monza
21.2%
Draw
10.3%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Monza

vs
0.67

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
10.0%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).