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HHT: 20CSV

22 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.9%
Bradford
23.9%
Draw
20.2%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Bradford

vs
0.78

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
8.8%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).