Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Ad. Demirspor
27.2%
Draw
46.5%
Sivasspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Ad. Demirspor
vs
1.90
Sivasspor
Markets
BTTS66.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
0-1
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).