Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Bolton
19.3%
Draw
13.3%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Bolton
vs
0.68
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).