Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Hatayspor
28.7%
Draw
34.0%
Giresunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Hatayspor
vs
1.56
Giresunspor
Markets
BTTS66.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).