Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Cheltenham
25.9%
Draw
33.7%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Cheltenham
vs
1.09
Burton
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).