Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Burgos
27.4%
Draw
22.4%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Burgos
vs
0.82
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).