Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Valencia
27.7%
Draw
26.9%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Valencia
vs
1.00
Girona
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).