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AHT: 01CSV

21 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.4%
Darmstadt
22.2%
Draw
21.4%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Darmstadt

vs
1.29

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS65.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
3-2
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).