Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Brescia
32.4%
Draw
26.8%
Juve Stabia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Brescia
vs
0.90
Juve Stabia
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).