Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
AVS
15.5%
Draw
70.4%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
AVS
vs
2.69
Estoril
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.573.7%
Over 3.553.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-3
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
0-3
7.0%
1-1
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
1-4
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
0-4
4.7%
2-3
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
2-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).