Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Sunderland
33.0%
Draw
31.8%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Sunderland
vs
1.06
Leeds
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.3%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).