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HHT: 20CSV

22 Apr 2018

Spezia

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.2%
Pescara
26.4%
Draw
30.4%
Spezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Pescara

vs
1.34

Spezia

Markets

BTTS60.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).