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26 Feb 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Bielefeld
27.7%
Draw
42.5%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Bielefeld

vs
1.51

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS56.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).