Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Alaves
36.1%
Draw
21.1%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Alaves
vs
0.55
Leganes
Markets
BTTS25.1%
Over 0.577.0%
Over 1.542.8%
Over 2.518.2%
Over 3.56.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
23.0%
1-0
21.3%
0-1
12.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
5.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
1.6%
2-2
1.5%
4-0
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).